Promoted $25 becoming $12,398. The full paired trade made about $4,113 before gas.
A weather-trading promotion presented about $25 turning into $12,398. The featured account bought both sides repeatedly. Across the full Chicago market, it spent about $47,030 and made about $4,113 before gas. The post linked to the trader with a referral parameter.
In fairness
The video shows real figures, and the trader made money. Purchases were cumulative, not money tied up all at once.
The post may reflect a misunderstanding. Payment, referral earnings and deliberate deception are not established.
Show the record3 points and their sources
What the record shows
1The April post presented about $25 becoming $12,398 in one bet. Its video showed a real result row, but only one side of a paired position.
A frame from the handle’s own posted video shows the result rows.
1 more source
2The account spent about $47,030 across repeated purchases of Yes and No. Pairing the two sides returned about $24,880; the remaining shares returned about $26,263. Net cash gain: about $4,113 before gas.
3 more sources
3The displayed $25 cost also differs from the actual purchases of that outcome. An outcome’s interface row does not show the cost and return of the complete paired trade.
2 more sources
Everything that must be said with these points
- The displayed rows are authentic interface figures, not fabricated screenshots. Their allocated proceeds cannot be treated as the return on an isolated $25 investment.
- ColdMath’s paired trades were profitable. This concerns the promoters’ presentation, not wrongdoing by the trader; no direction, payment or coordination by the trader is established.
- Gross cumulative buys are not peak simultaneous capital and must not become a precise ROI denominator. ‘Spent across repeated buys’ is accurate; ‘risked all at once’ is not.
- Bober’s headline closely matches the Chicago row. Slash’s $12,420 headline is approximate and does not exactly equal either visible UI amount; both named rows appear in its own video. Do not claim an exclusive exact numerical match for Slash.
- Bober’s link contains the Polymarket r parameter; Slash’s profile link contains via and its copy-bot link contains start=ref_slash1sol. These are referral-tagged links, not proof of code ownership, earnings, clicks or paid promotion.
- A misunderstanding of the interface remains possible. Neither knowledge nor intent is established, and paid-partnership label state is not determinable for these April posts.
- The negative No-side interface rows are allocations within a profitable paired strategy, not standalone evidence of overall trading losses. Use complete condition cash, and qualify it as before gas.
