Promoted $24 and $25 weather bets returning over $12,000. The complete paired trades made about $4,113 and $837 before gas.
The April post named two weather trades and presented their selected results as returns on small stakes. Both complete trades also bought the opposite outcome. Chicago made $4,113.24 and Tokyo made $837.41 before gas. The trader was profitable, but the selected rows omitted essential costs.
In fairness
The figures shown are real, and the trader made money. The posts describe individual trades, not an account that began with $24 or $25. Cumulative purchases are not money tied up all at once.
A misunderstanding remains possible. Payment, referral earnings, coordination, deliberate deception and control of the trading account are not established.
Show the record4 points and their sources
What the record shows
1The post described $25 returning $12,452 in Tokyo and $24 returning $12,398 in Chicago. Its attached table shows those real figures for selected positions.
The handle’s own attached table shows the selected positions and a much larger account.
2Chicago’s full cycle spent $47,029.57 across repeated buys of both outcomes and made $4,113.24 before gas. Tokyo spent $24,592.85 and made $837.41.
4 more sources
3Merging releases cash after equal quantities of both outcomes are returned. The selected result row leaves out the cost of buying the opposite shares.
2 more sources
4The text also gives $101,042 profit and $96,000 in active positions. The image shows $101,836.04 profit and $88.8K in positions. Both describe a much larger account.
1 more source
Everything that must be said with these points
- The trader made money in both conditions. This concerns the promoter’s presentation of the returns, not wrongdoing by the trader.
- The post also mentions $101,042 in profile profit and $96,000 in active holdings. It does not claim that the entire account began with $24 or $25.
- The authentic own photo separately shows $101,836.04 all-time PNL and $88.8K position value. These are different snapshots of a larger account; the difference does not establish fabrication.
- Gross cumulative purchases were 47,029.569336 USDC.e in Chicago and 24,592.846587 in Tokyo. These are repeated purchases, not peak simultaneous capital or a denominator for an invented ROI.
- The exact Chicago condition is 54°F or higher on March 11; the post abbreviates it to 54°F. The Tokyo condition is 16°C on March 20. Both named rows are visibly present in this handle’s own attachment.
- A misunderstanding of the interface remains possible. Neither knowing deception, paid promotion, coordination, referral earnings nor ownership/control of the trading wallet is established.
- Only the two named weather trades are assessed. The attached financial table is shown; the account’s wider results and other examples in the post are not assessed.
